Vigil/Calculators/Risk of Ruin Calculator/TopStep
Tier 11-stepTrailing EOD (floor moves up at end of day)

TopStep Risk of Ruin Calculator

TopStep uses trailing eod (floor moves up at end of day). With trailing drawdown, the floor rises with your equity peaks, meaning a string of losses after a winning run is especially dangerous. This calculator shows exactly how many bad trades you can survive.

Account Size

TopStep$50,000Daily Limit: $1,000Max DD: $1,500Target: $3,000
Inputs
Results

Risk of Ruin

9.39%

Trade Expectancy

$188

Expectancy %

0.38%

Max Consecutive Losers

3

With a 55% win rate, 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio, and 1% risk per trade on TopStep, your probability of blowing the $50,000 account is 9.39%. This is a solid risk profile for prop firm trading.

Risk of Ruin Calculator for Other Firms

Frequently Asked Questions

What is TopStep's daily loss limit?

TopStep's daily loss limit is 2% of your account balance. For the $50,000 account, the daily limit is $1,000.

What drawdown type does TopStep use?

TopStep uses trailing eod (floor moves up at end of day). The floor moves up at end-of-day when your closing balance exceeds the previous peak.

What win rate do I need to pass TopStep?

The minimum win rate depends on your reward-to-risk ratio. With a 1.5:1 R:R, a 45% win rate gives you a positive expectancy. With 1:1 R:R, you need above 55%. For TopStep's 3% max drawdown, lower risk per trade (0.5-1%) dramatically reduces your risk of ruin even with modest win rates.

What is a good risk of ruin percentage for prop trading?

A risk of ruin below 5% is considered safe for prop firm trading. Below 1% is excellent. Most failed prop firm traders have risk of ruin above 30% because they risk too much per trade (2%+ of account) or have a negative expectancy strategy.

Data source: TopStep (https://www.topstep.com). Last verified: 2026-03-21.

Drawdown type: Trailing EOD (floor moves up at end of day) | Daily limit: 2% | Profit split: 90-90%