Vigil/Calculators/Risk of Ruin Calculator/The5%ers
Tier 12-stepStatic (floor never moves)

The5%ers Risk of Ruin Calculator

The5%ers uses static (floor never moves). With static drawdown, profits add buffer above the floor, but a losing streak can still wipe out that buffer quickly. This calculator shows exactly how many bad trades you can survive.

Who should use this calculator

Best for checking whether your real win rate and risk settings are even compatible with The5%ers's drawdown budget before you buy or reset.

Where this tool can mislead you

Risk-of-ruin models assume your edge and position sizing stay stable. They become misleading if you revenge trade, increase risk after losses, or trade multiple correlated setups at once.

Rule inputs preloaded into this calculator

  • Account sizes reflected: $20,000, $60,000, $100,000
  • Primary drawdown model: Static
  • Daily loss rule: 4%
  • Max drawdown rule: 4%
  • Profit split range: 50% to 100%
  • Largest configured account in this calculator: $100,000

Account Size

The5%ers$20,000Daily Limit: $800Max DD: $800Target: $1,200
Inputs
Results

Risk of Ruin

4.27%

Trade Expectancy

$75

Expectancy %

0.38%

Max Consecutive Losers

4

With a 55% win rate, 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio, and 1% risk per trade on The5%ers, your probability of blowing the $20,000 account is 4.27%. This is a solid risk profile for prop firm trading.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is The5%ers's daily loss limit?

The5%ers's daily loss limit is 4% of your account balance. For the $20,000 account, the daily limit is $800.

What drawdown type does The5%ers use?

The5%ers uses static (floor never moves). The floor is fixed at account opening and never moves up, even when you profit.

What win rate do I need to pass The5%ers?

The minimum win rate depends on your reward-to-risk ratio. With a 1.5:1 R:R, a 45% win rate gives you a positive expectancy. With 1:1 R:R, you need above 55%. For The5%ers's 4% max drawdown, lower risk per trade (0.5-1%) dramatically reduces your risk of ruin even with modest win rates.

What is a good risk of ruin percentage for prop trading?

A risk of ruin below 5% is considered safe for prop firm trading. Below 1% is excellent. Most failed prop firm traders have risk of ruin above 30% because they risk too much per trade (2%+ of account) or have a negative expectancy strategy.

VR

Vigil Research

Reviewed | Rules verified against official firm websites

Data source: The5%ers (https://the5ers.com). Current rule set reflected here was reviewed 2026-03-21.

Drawdown type: Static (floor never moves) | Daily limit: 4% | Profit split: 50-100%

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